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Asian Stocks Follow Wall Street's Retreat, Oil Prices Surge

BNE News Desk , January 15, 2025
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Hong Kong: Asian stocks retreated on Monday after US stocks fell as good news on the job market raised inflation worries.

Markets in Japan were closed for a holiday. US futures dropped while oil prices surged more than $1 a barrel after President Joe Biden's administration expanded sanctions against Russia's critically important energy sector over its war in Ukraine. The Biden administration said the sanctions announced Friday were the most significant to date against Moscow's oil and liquefied natural gas sectors, drivers of Russia's economy. US benchmark crude oil surged $1.50 to $78.07 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international standard, rose $1.44 to $81.20 per barrel. China reported its exports grew at a faster pace than expected in December, as factories rushed to fill orders to beat higher tariffs that US President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose once he takes office.

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Asian stocks drop, oil prices surge globally.

Exports rose 10.7 per cent from a year earlier. Economists had forecast they would grow about 7 per cent. Imports rose 1 per cent year-on-year. Analysts had expected them to shrink about 1.5 per cent. With exports outpacing imports, China's trade surplus grew to $104.84 billion. But the upbeat data failed to boost the region's stocks. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 1.3 per cent to 18,820.46, while the Shanghai Composite lost 0.5 per cent to 3,154.37. “Adding to the skittish sentiment is the uncertainty over how Asian economies, especially China, will fare under the shadow of the incoming Trump administration's America First' trade policies,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 dipped 1.5% to 8,166.40. South Korea's Kospi shed 1.2 per cent to 2,486.14.

US Stocks Slide as Bond Yields Surge Amid Strong Jobs Data and Inflation Worries

On Friday, the S&P 500 tumbled 1.5 per cent to 5,827.04, ending its fourth losing week in the last five. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6 per cent to 41,938.45, and the Nasdaq composite sank 1.6 per cent to 19,161.63. Stocks took their cues from the bond market, where yields leaped to crank up the pressure after a report said US employers added many more jobs to their payrolls last month than economists expected. Such strength in hiring is of course good news for workers looking for jobs. But it could also keep upward pressure on inflation by keeping the overall economy humming. That in turn could dissuade the Federal Reserve from delivering the cuts to interest rates that Wall Street loves. Lower rates can not only goose the economy but also boost prices for investments. The Fed has already indicated it's likely to ease rates fewer times this year than it earlier expected because of worries about higher inflation. That's in part because some officials are taking seriously the possibility of tariffs and other policies coming from President-elect Donald Trump that could worsen inflation.

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Friday's jobs report might not have been as strong as it appeared, given weakness in manufacturing. Markets have been deflating after traders sent US stock indexes to dozens of records last year, banking on a stream of rate cuts coming from the Fed. If fewer cuts materialize than expected, stock prices would likely either need to fall, or profits at companies would have to rise more strongly to compensate. Insurance companies were also under pressure as wildfires continue to burn in the Los Angeles area. Many of the homes that have been destroyed were in expensive areas where the typical price can top $3 million, and such high-priced damage could eat into insurers' profit. Allstate fell 5.6 per cent, Travellers dropped 4.3 per cent and Chubb lost 3.4 per cent.Delta Air Lines was able to fly 9 per cent higher because it delivered a stronger profit report for the last three months of 2024 than analysts expected. The airline said it's seeing strong demand for travel, which accelerated through the end of last year, and it expects that to continue into 2025. In other dealings early Monday, the US dollar fell to 157.34 Japanese yen from 157.82 yen. The euro dropped to $1.0218 from $1.0244.